Winning Edge

#74 Fear, Uncertainty, & Doubt

Commonwealth Partners

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What is FUD:

  • Acronym: Fear, Uncertainty, and Doubt
  • Created by former IBM engineer Gene Amdahl 50+ years ago
  • Appeals to emotion rather than fact

Virginia Election Case Study:

  • Redistricting ballot: over $80 million spent
  • Yes side won by less than 2 percentage points
  • Exit polls: many voters still uncertain what they voted on

How Both Sides Used FUD:

Yes Side:

  • Messaging: protecting democracy, stopping Trump
  • Misleading ballot language ruled by judge
  • Mailers disguised as "local newspapers"

No Side:

  • Themes: protecting voting rights, stopping power grab
  • Used 2017 Obama clip condemning gerrymandering against his own endorsement

When to Use FUD:

1. One-off Decisions

  • Ballot questions without party labels

2. Playing Defense

  • Getting voters to hesitate or stick with status quo
  • Lower bar than getting action

3. Issue-Based, Not Person-Based

  • Focus on policy consequences, not opponent
  • Easier for voters to admit policy isn't working than being wrong about a person
  • Lets voters "be right again" without feeling they changed their mind

Caution:

  • FUD only gives reasons against something
  • Must pair with positive message about what you'll do

Bottom Line: Use FUD sparingly for one-off decisions, defense, and issue-based arguments - always combine with positive messaging.

For more campaign messaging tactics, refer to the accompanying one-page PDF.

Winning Edge gives you the tools you need to lead and influence in the political and policy arenas. Every other week, Winning Edge releases short (approximately 5-minute) spots—or “snacks”—focused on one of four areas: fundraising, media, policy, or persuasion.

For more, visit our website: www.thecommonwealthpartners.com.